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Ten rejects analyst’s claim Family Feud will not solve 6pm audience woes

Grant Denyer On Family Feud SetThe return of Family Feud to Ten will not solve the channel’s problems in finding an audience to lead into its prime time schedule according to analysis from Fusion Strategy.

Ten is targeting families and its core target market of people 25 to 54 with the new version of Family Feud to be fronted by Grant Denyer, Ten’s chief scheduling officer Beverley McGarvey said.

Claiming comparisons should not be made from historical data, with the show last airing on nine in 2007, McGarvey said in a statement: “We know Family Feud is going into a highly competitive timeslot and we do not under-estimate the strength of the programs it will be up against.

“We are confident that we have created a highly entertaining and engaging show. Clearly we expect Family Feud to lift our ratings in the weeknights timeslot. But our ratings expectations are realistic and modest. While people will rush to judge Family Feud after the first night and the first week, we know it will take time for the show to find its audience.”

The Fusion analysis of OzTam ratings for the timeslot show Ten’s 16-54 audience has more than halved since 2010, after a series of failed experiments with shows including The Simpsons, 6pm with George Negus, The Project, and currently Modern Family continually dropping share.

Launching on Monday night, the show will compete with news on both Seven and Nine, pitting it as the “alternative” scheduling with news dominating Seven and Nine. However with digital offerings already providing alternatives to news it will find itself competing against the likes of The People’s Court on Gem, Regular Show on GO!, Cops on One, Frasier on Eleven, Eggheads on ABC1 and Tour de France highlights on SBS One.

In 2010, before the advent of digital multichannels, the slot was rating 403,000 in the demographic, however it currently pulls just 190,000 for Modern Family.

Asked why Ten believed the revamped format of Family Feud could draw a larger audience McGarvey said in a statement: “Grant is a great presenter and Family Feud is a much-loved and well-tested format. Together they make a great combination and will give Australians a fun, exciting and entertaining show.

“Ten’s fresh, re-energised version of one of the world’s best game shows delivers great entertainment for the whole family to kick off weeknight viewing. We need something with big, broad family appeal for the 6pm weeknights timeslot and Family Feud is exactly that. It also offers a strong and hghly engaging alternative to news bulletins on the other networks.”

Ten is also offering what it’s describing as a “series of too-cheeky for TV” clips which will be exclusively available on its catchup services website tenplay.com.au and YouTube while TV viewing companion app Beamly will also be offering a play-along Family Feud game that allows viewers to play along with the game show as it happens on screen.

Fusion Strategy expects it will be “difficult” to win audience away from the ABC, SBS and digital channels.

“Family Feud does not really compete with these. Perhaps this is Ten’s point, a real alternative,” it said in its analysis.

Describing it as “a dated format” it added “we simply do not think will excite the market no matter how heavy Ten’s backing and deafening cross promotion strategy. We do not believe this will recover lost audiences.”

Fusion Stratey, which is headed by analyst Steve Allen, believes unless Ten and Fremantle can change the appeal and audience profile of Family Feud “it will not be of much use”.

Ten has lost more than half of its audience in the 6pm-6.30pm timeslot in the last four years as the channel has experimented with its scheduling, including two attempts at competing in the news/current affairs space, Fusion Strategy said.

These attempts, which saw Ten create its own current affairs show 6PM with George Negus in 2011 and in 2012 move The Project to 6pm to 7pm in 2012, temporarily stabilised audience declines but was “perhaps too costly” according to Fusion Strategy and with management turmoil at Ten, which has had a string of CEOs in the last five years, the strategy was abandoned.

In October 2012 Ten announced The Project would move back to its 6.30pm to 7.30pm timeslot from December, reverting to its “historic ‘alternate’ programming schedule” with The Simpsons returning to the 6pm timeslot.

Previously The Simpsons had been moved, along with Neighbours and other younger programs, to Ten’s digital channel Eleven. This has since happened again, with the station now using repeats of Modern Family to lead in to The Project at 6.30pm.

Last year and the first half of 2014 have shown further audience deterioration, Fusion Strategy highlights, with a 16 per cent loss of audience in the timeslot last year, with nearly another 14 per cent loss this year to date.

Family feud has historically been a staple for both Nine and Seven, with the show first airing on Nine from 1977 to 1984 and on Seven from 1988 to 1996. Nine brought the format back in 2006 as Bert’s Family Feud, however as it rated quite poorly, the show was cancelled in 2007.

For both Nine and Seven, the show has run in the 5pm to 6pm timeslot as a lead for their respective news programs, due to this timeslot it has generally had a biased female 65+ demographic which Fusion Strategy says is “not really saleable”.

Miranda Ward

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