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New business activity plummets to ‘scary’ three-year low

The movement of accounts in Australia’s biggest advertising markets has crashed to its lowest point since 2009.

After flatlining for most of the year, a decline in the value of new business activity began in Sydney and Melbourne in April, accelerated in June and by August had reached a three-year low.

Between August 2009 and August this year, the new business market lost 21% of its value, dropping from $846.5m to $667.8m, according to figures from The Agency Register.

The value of account moves in Sydney & Melbourne: moving annual total ($) to August

The number of pitches has fallen too, although the decline has been less steep. This year, there here have been 18% fewer pitches, according to The Agency Register.

The number of account moves in Sydney & Melbourne: moving annual total to August

“When the core business is undermined, projects stop happening. Projects make up around 65% of activity. That will hurt independents and roster agencies the most,” said Peter McDonald, The Agency Register’s MD. He described the figures as “scary”.

Creative agencies will be suffering more than media. The value of creative pitches has fallen from $574m to $411m in a year, a 28% drop. Media new business has dropped from $498m to $416m, a 16% slump.

The big creative moves of the last 12 months have been Foxtel, Crysler, ANZ, Kmart and Domino’s. The biggest media pitches have been Unilever and Woolworths.

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