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Aussie media should brace for a stagnant 2010, warns Carat

Australian advertising spend will finish further behind than previously predicted in 2009, and won’t grow in 2010 either, media agency Carat has warned.  

After growth of 3.7% last year, Carat predicts that by the end of 2009, Australian adspend will have fallen by 6.5% – a much more pessimistic figure than its previous prediction of a fall of 1.9%.

And it says that there will be zero growth in 2010, rather than the growth of 1.8% it had previously predicted.

If Carat’s predictions prove to be true, it will see the Australian media potentially facing a tougher time than their counterparts in other parts of the world. The Aegis-owned agency is predicting that next year global media spend will grow by a modest 1%, following a drop of 9.8% this year.

This year, says Carat, online will be the only medium to have seen growth – up about 1% globally. Newspapers and magazines will have seen the biggest declines. It predicts that those declines will continue into 2010, while online will start to grow more strongly again.

Carat says that by the end of this year, online’s global advertising share will have reached 10% for the first time.

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