Ad spend bonanza or Armageddon? The headlines would have you believe it’s both

Don’t be fooled by a temporary government-led advertising bonanza, all signs point to a tough year for consumer-facing businesses says Spinach’s Craig Flanders.

A slew of recent headlines would have you believe ad land is in for a terrific year. According to IPG ­Mediabrands investment arm Magna, ad spend will be up 3.8% to $17 billion this year while a recent Dentsu Aegis forecast predicts growth of 2.4%.

Far be it from me to rain on this rosy outlook but consider this: in January, the Melbourne Institute and Westpac Bank Consumer Sentiment Index for Australia saw consumer confidence hit its lowest point since September 2017 driven by the ongoing slide in house prices, concern about global trade wars and political uncertainty.

The triple threat of Donald Trump, Brexit and a looming federal election in Australia is enough to make the most confident consumer tighten the purse strings. And this is a global trend with the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development charting similar sentiment around the world.

Be a member to keep reading

Join Mumbrella Pro to access the Mumbrella archive and read our premium analysis of everything under the media and marketing umbrella.

Become a member

Get the latest media and marketing industry news (and views) direct to your inbox.

Sign up to the free Mumbrella newsletter now.

"*" indicates required fields

 

SUBSCRIBE

Sign up to our free daily update to get the latest in media and marketing.