Opinion

Potential ‘no’ voters are trying to understand The Voice, but Farnesy isn’t helping

Before the 'You're The Voice' campaign, potential 'no' voters were taking a side, but now they are taking a stand. Howard Parry-Husbands, CEO of Pollinate, explains.

Just three weeks ago, John Farnham lent his iconic anthem ‘You’re the Voice’ to the referendum’s ‘Yes’ campaign, in a move that, on paper, totally made sense.

The shared lyrics, nostalgia, and emotion, paired with the campaign, made headlines around Australia, despite the fact that not many people have even seen the ad. It has, however, inflamed the opinions of those that have.

Pollinate’s latest ongoing research on the Voice — conducted in the last two weeks — found that the impact of Farnesy’s TVC has had zero impact, or even a negative influence, on Australians plans to vote on the Voice.

Where before people were taking sides, now they are taking a stand.

Whether or not you support the Voice is not the issue exposed here: the issue is how Australian society is clearly so deeply divided and angry.

Let’s look at the statistics: the “Yes” vote is 35%, the “No” is 44% and the “Undecided” are 21%.

More importantly, most people think the outcome will be still be a “No” (68%).

And while 20% of people have changed their mind about the Voice at some stage, almost all (68%) have gone from Yes to either “Not sure” or “No”.

If we look a little deeper, it is polarising along progressive-traditional lines: 56% of people who consider themselves progressives are “Yes” voters while 62% of people who consider themselves traditional are “No” voters.

Back to the recent ad.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=br8dB_0z3Fk

Only 28% of people have actually seen it, which is not a lot. Especially when you think about the millions in media spend put behind it, and the ticking countdown to voting day. What’s most interesting about those who saw the ad is that for 90% of people it entrenched their existing views and, unfortunately, didn’t sway any “No” voters.

When we asked people “how did this ad make you feel about the Voice Referendum?” 2% of “Yes” voters said it was negative and 3% of “No” voters said it was positive: literally no change in polarity at all. But it did harden opinions: more than half of the “No” voters said seeing the ad made them feel negatively or very negatively towards the Voice referendum.

To really understand what is going on when the sixth most “Australian song of all time” creates such division, we need to look at the emotional response this ad has evoked: “Yes” voters talk about feeling nostalgic and hopeful, righting past wrongs and being brought to tears, whereas “No” voters are angry that there is no clarity or explanation about such an important issue and resent the overt emotional appeal.

This ad clearly evokes powerful emotions, but the data suggests it has hardened people’s opinions.

Logically this makes sense.

Many voters opposed to the Voice have been made to feel there is not enough detail, they are angry at the lack of clarity for such an important issue. The “No” vote wants clarity not a cuddle.

When someone is angry and bristling for a fight, they need a chance to calm down and listen to reason, they rarely want a hug. The “No” voters are saying they want to try and understand it, but this ad isn’t helping.

The Farnham ad is by all means a beautiful, emotional take – but, in a similar vein to my last piece – this is where the “Yes” campaign needs to fight fire with fire.

The emotion is there, but now Australia needs the “Yes” movement to talk about the positive aspects of the Voice, drive home some strong facts and dial up the education.

The opportunity is still there, and it’s up to us – all of us – to do what we can.

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